Monday, September 21, 2015

Assignment 1

Part 1

     For this part of the assignment we were tasked with analyzing a sample of test scores from the Eau Claire School District. There was some worry from the public that the test scores were significantly lower at North High School than they were at Eau Claire Memorial and that firing teachers at North might be an appropriate. The results are below.

Eau Claire North Scores                                        Eau Claire Memorial Scores

153
160.9231
<-- Average
145
158.5385
<-- Average
120
164.5
<--Median
189
159.5
<--Median
180
170
<--Mode
198
120
<--Mode
194
83
<--Range
140
91
<--Range
182
23.63544
<-- Standard Deviation
135
27.15766
<-- Standard Deviation
170
175
175
182
165
194
164
107
142
134
130
165
184
167
170
120
135
148
188
189
192
120
120
190
111
154
170
120
162
167
154
175
176
184
145
145
189
149
164
193
149
137



























     Using the given scores and Excel I was able to calculate a set of stats for each school including the range, mean, median, mode and standard deviation for each data set. The results show that even though an Eau Claire Memorial got the highest score (198) of the two schools it also achieved the lowest score too (107.) As a collective group the students at North outscored the Memorial students. The public could argue that North did better and the teachers should not have to worry for a couple of reasons. One, the mean or average test scores was two points higher than Memorial. Two, the median score for North is higher meaning the middle value of the given scores was better than Memorials (164 vs 159.) Next, North’s score range was less than Memorial’s showing the difference in the highest score and lowest score for the school was closer than Memorial’s highest and lowest score. Lastly, the standard deviation is lower for North showing their scores are more grouped together showing more group consistency. An argument that could be used against North is that Memorial had a higher top score (198 vs 194) and also had another student tie North’s top score. I think the best stat to illustrate this situation is the average score. The issue shouldn’t necessarily be about having a single student with a higher score but more focused on the overall group. North as a group achieved higher scores and was more consistent with their scores. Based on the information, the teachers at North should not be fired.

Part 2

     For Part 2 of this assignment our job was to help an organic farming firm select where the best place to establish an organic goat farm was in Wisconsin. We were given very general information such as the number of goat and organic farms for each county but using statistics and creating some maps showing these stats, a decent well thought out recommendation should be able to be made.

     The first step was using the data provided and calculate things such as the mean, median, mode, skewness, kurtosis and standard deviation for each data set. These will come in handy when creating the maps and interpreting the data later on.

COUNTY NAME Organic Farms  Goat Farms
001 Adams 1 12
003 Ashland 5
005 Barron 5 47
007 Bayfield 16 8
009 Brown 3 30
011 Buffalo 25 35
013 Burnett 6 11
015 Calumet 10 20
017 Chippewa 18 47
019 Clark 49 87
021 Columbia 15 49
023 Crawford 24 34
025 Dane 32 72
027 Dodge 20 57
029 Door 15 26
031 Douglas 5 18
033 Dunn 31 58
035 Eau Claire 27 44
037 Florence 0 9
039 Fond Du Lac 13 29
041 Forest 1 8
043 Grant 35 84
045 Green 16 81
047 Green Lake 2 25
049 Iowa 18 47
051 Iron 0 0
053 Jackson 23 41
055 Jefferson 9 43
057 Juneau 7 38
059 Kenosha 1 14
061 Kewaunee 2 17
063 La Crosse 26 22
065 Lafayette 24 35
067 Langlade 5 14
069 Lincoln 9 12
071 Manitowoc 21 36
073 Marathon 38 68
075 Marinette 4 15
077 Marquette 2 16
078 Menominee 0 0
079 Milwaukee 3 2
081 Monroe 59 74
083 Oconto 13 29
085 Oneida 3 7
087 Outagamie 11 35
089 Ozaukee 9 25
091 Pepin 5 9
093 Pierce 15 34
095 Polk 7 50
097 Portage 10 29
099 Price 4 12
101 Racine 5 33
103 Richland 28 34
105 Rock 18 59
107 Rusk 6 16
111 Sauk 38 74
113 Sawyer 4 5
115 Shawano 19 57
117 Sheboygan 6 54
109 St. Croix 18 57
119 Taylor 8 16
121 Trempealeau 32 31
123 Vernon 229 107
125 Vilas 0 5
127 Walworth 16 45
129 Washburn 3 20
131 Washington 12 31
133 Waukesha 1 21
135 Waupaca 5 36
137 Waushara 9 29
139 Winnebago 7 36
141 Wood 14 35

Using the information above here is the information I calculated using Excel.


Organic Farms Goat Farms
Mean 16.38888889 33.59722222
Median 9.5 31
Mode 5 35
Skewness 6.260257766 0.863929631
Kurtosis 46.54725042 0.538343524
Standard Deviation 28.0027556 23.04262941
Sum 1180 2419

Although having this information is wonderful it may be a hard to interpret visually in this format. Making maps using this data allows for a much more visually appealing way of presenting the data.



     Three important stats to pay special attention to are Skewness, Kurtosis and Standard Deviation. Skewness is important because it shows how symmetrical the distribution is. The closer you are to zero the more symmetrical the data is. With this in mind if we look at the skewness of Organic Farms in Wisconsin we can see that at 6.26 there is a substantial difference between 6 and 0 in terms of skewness meaning our data is not very symmetrical. Looking at the Goat Farm data however presents a different story, with a skewness of .86 that is within the 1 to 0 threshold and means our data is distributed relatively symmetrically throughout. Kurtosis is important because it quantifies whether or not the data matches the Gaussian distribution. In order to have Gaussian Distribution the kurtosis has to be 0. Very similarly to skewness we see that the Organic Farm data is nowhere near to a Gaussian Distribution while the Goat Farm data is within the 1 threshold. Lastly standard deviation is important because it shows how closely data is clustered around the mean. By looking at the map above you can see the standard deviation for Goat Farms by county. The lower the standard deviation the more tightly your data is clustered around the mean.

      Whether or not an Organic Goat Farm should be built in the state of Wisconsin really comes down to many variables. Some of the questions that need to be asked in addition to the data we were given include: What plants are you going to grow along with having the goats? Are you dedicating your sales to local markets? How big of farm do you want to have? Where is your primary customer base located? Do you want to be in an area that already has a lot of the same products you will have? Would you rather have the farm in an area with no other farms Organic or Goat related? These and many more questions need to be asked and considered when picking a location for a potential farm. Over 99% of Wisconsin farms are family owned, consumers are aware of this. The idea of an Ag Firm coming in might not sit as well with the consumers as they would hope.

     Looking at the maps we can certainly see some patterns and they make sense knowing Wisconsin's topography and locations of large populations. Both Organic and Goat farms are located in the most popular agricultural counties around the state. Counties that have good soil, easily farmed terrain, climate although varies slightly throughout the state is certainly a factor, markets available in relation to the farms location. Based on the information I have, I would recommend Clark, Monroe, Vernon, Trempealeau, Grant counties all good possible candidates. These are counties with a rich history of agriculture and based on the data these counties all support a blend of Organic and Goat farms so having an Organic Goat Farm would be a perfectly acceptable. These counties are good for the firm if they are interested in taking other farms head on as there is obvious competition already established in these counties. As a wildcard county I would select Brown county. Although there is already a couple of Organic and Goat farms located in the county there is a huge opportunity for sales with Brown county being a huge tourism county. It is the home of Green Bay and also very close to the hugely popular Door county for visitors. If we had more information this area could be explored further but the potential is there simply based on the farm data. I believe the "Percentage of Organic Farms by County" and the "Percentage of Statewide Goat Farms Per County" are both great maps for explaining my reasoning.

  The potential for a successful Organic Goat Farm in Wisconsin is certainly there. When doing a quick Google search for "wisconsin organic goat farm" there was more than 400,000 results. The interest and information is out there. There is pages of variables that need to be considered to make the most informed decision. A relatively safe bet for this farm would be one in a county already rich with agriculture and one to take a chance on would be one away from the most popular counties for farming but counties that really bank on tourism such as Brown or Door County, pending the right farming variables are there.